Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#80
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#112
Pace61.9#308
Improvement-1.6#255

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#184
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#122
Layup/Dunks-2.5#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#186
Freethrows+1.5#76
Improvement-0.8#219

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#34
First Shot+5.9#34
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#77
Layups/Dunks+3.2#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#137
Freethrows+2.6#39
Improvement-0.8#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 240   San Diego W 69-59 89%     1 - 0 +2.6 +6.1 -1.5
  Nov 14, 2016 1   @ Gonzaga L 48-69 4%     1 - 1 +5.9 -11.6 +17.4
  Nov 21, 2016 57   California W 77-65 38%     2 - 1 +21.5 +13.2 +8.3
  Nov 28, 2016 320   Savannah St. W 100-67 95%     3 - 1 +19.8 +1.9 +12.1
  Dec 03, 2016 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 59-65 48%     3 - 2 +0.7 -0.8 +0.5
  Dec 07, 2016 161   @ Grand Canyon L 72-76 63%     3 - 3 -1.3 +10.9 -12.6
  Dec 10, 2016 114   Arizona St. L 63-74 71%     3 - 4 -10.5 -11.1 +0.3
  Dec 12, 2016 342   Alabama St. W 73-41 98%     4 - 4 +13.8 +4.3 +14.7
  Dec 22, 2016 316   Southern Miss W 66-51 93%     5 - 4 +4.6 -1.1 +7.5
  Dec 23, 2016 126   Tulsa W 82-63 66%     6 - 4 +21.0 +14.8 +7.1
  Dec 25, 2016 104   San Francisco W 62-48 59%     7 - 4 +17.9 +3.4 +16.6
  Jan 01, 2017 118   New Mexico L 62-68 72%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -5.9 -8.5 +2.3
  Jan 04, 2017 54   @ Nevada L 69-72 28%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +9.3 +3.2 +5.9
  Jan 07, 2017 96   @ Boise St. L 66-78 46%     7 - 7 0 - 3 -4.8 +0.8 -6.6
  Jan 10, 2017 206   San Jose St. W 76-61 86%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +9.6 -2.5 +11.3
  Jan 14, 2017 121   Utah St. W 74-55 73%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +18.8 +12.4 +9.5
  Jan 17, 2017 231   @ UNLV W 64-51 78%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +11.1 +3.0 +10.2
  Jan 24, 2017 215   @ Air Force L 57-60 76%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -4.0 -9.6 +5.2
  Jan 28, 2017 82   Colorado St. L 77-78 60%     10 - 9 3 - 5 +2.5 +19.1 -16.7
  Jan 31, 2017 140   Wyoming W 77-68 76%     11 - 9 4 - 5 +7.8 -0.3 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2017 98   @ Fresno St. W 70-67 47%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +10.1 +8.6 +1.8
  Feb 07, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. L 71-76 74%     12 - 10 5 - 6 -5.3 -4.3 -0.7
  Feb 12, 2017 54   Nevada W 70-56 46%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +21.2 -0.3 +21.7
  Feb 15, 2017 121   @ Utah St. W 66-62 55%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +8.9 +0.4 +8.8
  Feb 19, 2017 231   UNLV W 77-64 89%     15 - 10 8 - 6 +6.0 +10.4 -3.2
  Feb 22, 2017 98   Fresno St. L 55-63 66%     15 - 11 8 - 7 -6.0 -5.1 -2.5
  Feb 25, 2017 82   @ Colorado St. L 55-56 41%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +7.6 -0.9 +8.3
  Mar 01, 2017 215   Air Force W 51-38 87%     16 - 12 9 - 8 +7.0 -19.7 +28.4
  Mar 04, 2017 118   @ New Mexico L 59-64 54%     16 - 13 9 - 9 +0.2 -7.3 +7.1
  Mar 08, 2017 231   @ UNLV W 62-52 OT 78%     17 - 13 +8.1 -9.2 +17.4
  Mar 09, 2017 96   Boise St. W 87-68 56%     18 - 13 +23.7 +25.7 +0.4
  Mar 10, 2017 82   Colorado St. L 63-71 51%     18 - 14 -1.9 -0.4 -2.3
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%